Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARA
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CDO
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARA
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 0
VAL
51%
25%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GRI
0 - 4
ARA
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 0
ALA
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
LUG
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
ARY
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEG
4 - 2
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 0
EFM
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |