Real Aranjuez CF vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
ARA
73%
17%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
5 - 1
TOR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
4 - 2
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ARA
4 - 0
COS
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ADP
1 - 3
ARA
81%
14%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 4
TRJ
74%
18%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 2
NAV
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEG
70%
20%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 2
NAV
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
ORC
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |