Real Aranjuez CF vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SFN
2 - 0
ARA
71%
19%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
POZ
15%
24%
62%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 2
RVB
13%
21%
65%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 0
ALC
12%
23%
65%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 2
SFN
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
POZ
49%
28%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
RVB
1 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |