Real Aranjuez CF vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
GET
0 - 1
ARA
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 1
MAA
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RMC
0 - 0
ARA
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ARA
3 - 2
PEG
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
ARA
45%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATC
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
STA
1 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GET
1 - 3
ALC
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ALC
0 - 2
MAA
46%
26%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
RMC
3 - 2
ALC
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |