Real Aranjuez CF vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
TAL
3 - 2
ARA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SEG
2 - 1
ARA
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ARA
3 - 1
CDT
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARA
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
PUL
2 - 0
TAL
67%
17%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ALC
4 - 2
PUL
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
PUL
2 - 0
SEG
81%
12%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
CDT
0 - 2
PUL
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
PUL
3 - 0
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |