Real Aranjuez CF vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
UBC
1 - 0
ARA
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
TAL
3 - 1
ARA
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ARA
0 - 0
AVI
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
GUA
8 - 1
ARA
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ARA
3 - 2
LEG
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
PUL
7 - 0
TOR
91%
6%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
PUL
4 - 0
SEG
83%
11%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ALC
0 - 0
PUL
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
PUL
7 - 0
GDE
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
CAR
0 - 1
PUL
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |