Aranjuez B vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aranjuez B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
4 - 1
RAB
58%
20%
23%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RAB
0 - 1
LAB
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RAB
2 - 2
SPB
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 0
RAB
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAB
0 - 2
EDP
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 5
CDM
40%
23%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
EDP
3 - 1
UCA
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UCA
0 - 2
ATZ
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 0
UCA
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SSM
2 - 1
UCA
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |