Real Apodaca vs Orgullo de Reynosa analysis

Real Apodaca Orgullo de Reynosa
41 ELO 35
-6% Tilt -8.1%
4200º General ELO ranking 50873º
66º Country ELO ranking 409º
ELO win probability
55.2%
Real Apodaca
20.9%
Draw
23.8%
Orgullo de Reynosa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
Real Apodaca
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.8%
Win probability
Orgullo de Reynosa
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Apodaca
+75%
+12%
Orgullo de Reynosa

Points and table prediction

Real Apodaca
Their league position
Orgullo de Reynosa
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
13º
18º
13º
49
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chihuahua FC
58
75
94.5%
Los Cabos
65
66
85%
Durango
62
63
89%
Gavilanes Matamoros
56
57
100%
UA Tamaulipas
52
52
100%
Tecos
51
51
43.5%
Saltillo FC
10º
48
49
23%
Orgullo de Reynosa
49
49
23.5%
Cimarrones II
48
49
13%
Leones Negros II
49
49
10º
6.5%
UA Zacatecas
12º
43
44
11º
30%
Tritones Vallarta
11º
44
44
12º
36%
Real Apodaca
13º
42
42
13º
82%
Mineros de Fresnillo
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Club Calor
15º
35
36
15º
100%
Mexicali FC
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Colima
17º
24
24
17º
74.5%
Coras de Nayarit
18º
22
23
18º
74.5%
Expected probabilities
Real Apodaca
Orgullo de Reynosa
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 42.5%
Mid-table
100% 57.5%

ELO progression

Real Apodaca
Orgullo de Reynosa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Apodaca
Real Apodaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
NAY
Coras de Nayarit
0 - 1
Real Apodaca
RAF
56%
23%
21%
39 44 5 0
10 Mar. 2024
ZAC
UA Zacatecas
0 - 1
Real Apodaca
RAF
74%
16%
10%
37 55 18 +2
06 Mar. 2024
RAF
Real Apodaca
2 - 2
Club Calor
CAL
24%
25%
51%
36 50 14 +1
03 Mar. 2024
ATS
Saltillo FC
0 - 0
Real Apodaca
RAF
68%
19%
13%
36 53 17 0
29 Feb. 2024
MFC
Mexicali FC
0 - 4
Real Apodaca
RAF
37%
23%
40%
34 29 5 +2

Matches

Orgullo de Reynosa
Orgullo de Reynosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
0 - 0
Club Calor
CAL
22%
24%
54%
35 50 15 0
10 Mar. 2024
ATS
Saltillo FC
2 - 1
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
69%
19%
12%
35 53 18 0
07 Mar. 2024
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
1 - 0
Cimarrones II
CSI
23%
25%
52%
32 47 15 +3
02 Mar. 2024
DUR
Durango
2 - 2
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
75%
17%
9%
31 61 30 +1
24 Feb. 2024
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
1 - 1
Los Cabos
LCU
16%
23%
61%
30 55 25 +1