Real Apodaca vs Agricultores Guasave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+159%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
9º
7º
14
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 0
RAF
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
RAF
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 1
MIN
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 4
DUR
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
RAF
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Agricultores Guasave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ZIT
0 - 1
ADG
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
ADG
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADG
4 - 0
LCU
20%
23%
58%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
4 - 1
ADG
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
0 - 1
TDA
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |