Real Academia vs Univ. San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
IAS
1 - 3
RAC
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
RAC
6 - 0
ALF
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DCU
2 - 0
RAC
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
RAC
0 - 1
LOS
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
5 - 1
RAC
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SMA
1 - 1
UTC
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LOS
1 - 2
SMA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 0
DVM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AYA
0 - 1
SMA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LOS
0 - 0
SMA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |