Reading United vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
OCE
1 - 0
REA
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 4
REA
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
OCE
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
REA
3 - 0
EVE
87%
9%
3%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
JER
2 - 1
EVE
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JER
1 - 5
NEW
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
JER
5 - 3
LEH
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 5
JER
23%
19%
58%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
JER
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |