Reading United vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 3
REA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
OCE
0 - 2
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
REA
2 - 2
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 5
REA
9%
17%
75%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
JER
4 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
LEH
0 - 2
JER
7%
12%
82%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 0
JER
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
EVE
4 - 2
JER
8%
13%
80%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 0
JER
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |