Reading U18 vs Ipswich Town U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
19º
8º
24
10º
20º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 43 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
72.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
20 | 20 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
17 | 17 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
REA
2 - 3
CHA
12%
16%
71%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
IPS
3 - 1
REA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
SWA
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 3
REA
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
BRI
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IPS
1 - 7
MIL
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
IPS
3 - 1
REA
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
6 - 0
IPS
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IPS
5 - 0
SWA
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
IPS
3 - 1
COL
28%
21%
52%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |