Reading U18 vs Aston Villa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+258%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
8º
47
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
REA
0 - 3
CRY
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WBA
2 - 3
REA
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
AST
41%
21%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
REA
0 - 3
FUL
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
REA
0 - 9
SOU
27%
21%
53%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
AST
2 - 4
LEI
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BHA
3 - 2
AST
83%
11%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
AST
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
CRY
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 2
AST
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |