Reading vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 0
REA
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
OXF
0 - 2
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
REA
1 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 1
REA
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
WHU
1 - 0
REA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
WIG
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
PLY
2 - 1
SUN
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 2
QPR
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
3 - 1
CRE
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |