Reading vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1927 |
REA
2 - 1
MID
28%
22%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1927 |
REA
1 - 1
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
SOU
1 - 1
REA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
GRI
0 - 1
REA
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
REA
2 - 3
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1927 |
WOL
1 - 2
POR
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
POR
2 - 4
BPO
53%
22%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
POR
3 - 1
MID
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
GRI
4 - 4
POR
42%
24%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
POR
7 - 1
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |