Reading vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
PNE
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
BOU
84%
13%
4%
|
68 | 17 | 51 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WIM
2 - 0
REA
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 2
REA
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 1
REA
12%
18%
70%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 3
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 0
WBA
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
MVV
1 - 2
PLY
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 2
PLY
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
TAV
2 - 7
PLY
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |