Reading vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
DON
1 - 2
REA
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
REA
1 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
SHE
3 - 0
REA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
REA
1 - 0
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NTT
2 - 1
REA
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PLY
0 - 1
WBA
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SHW
2 - 1
PLY
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
PLY
1 - 0
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
PLY
0 - 1
CRY
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 0
PLY
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |