Carabao Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Reading vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
REA
2 - 1
BRI
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
OLD
2 - 0
REA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
REA
2 - 0
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
WIG
4 - 1
REA
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
REA
0 - 1
NOR
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
POS
2 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
WRE
1 - 0
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1998 |
REA
2 - 0
POS
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
POS
1 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
POS
0 - 2
WAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |