Carabao Cup 1/64
Global 3-1
Reading vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
REA
3 - 0
LUT
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
BRO
4 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
POS
1 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
WRE
3 - 0
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
POS
1 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
POS
0 - 2
WAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
POS
3 - 2
DAG
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1997 |
SWA
1 - 4
POS
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
POS
0 - 2
REA
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |