Reading vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
REA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
REA
1 - 1
GRI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1994 |
POR
0 - 2
REA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
REA
0 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
REA
4 - 2
WOL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
1 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
OLD
1 - 1
SWI
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 3
OLD
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
OLD
4 - 1
WOL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
CHA
2 - 0
OLD
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |