Reading vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
MID
0 - 0
REA
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
REA
4 - 3
TOT
34%
25%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
TOT
2 - 2
REA
82%
12%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
LEY
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
REA
3 - 3
CHL
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
OLD
2 - 0
NTT
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
OLD
3 - 1
TOT
37%
24%
40%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
OLD
4 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
MIL
3 - 3
OLD
71%
17%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
BRA
2 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |