Reading vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
OPA
1 - 1
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
GUL
0 - 1
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
REA
1 - 2
SCU
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
REA
2 - 1
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
INT
0 - 2
REA
31%
25%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NTT
1 - 1
LEE
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
NTT
26%
26%
47%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
NTT
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
NTT
1 - 3
LYO
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 2
NTT
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |