Reading vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
REA
2 - 3
OPA
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
FLE
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
REA
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
REA
5 - 0
SWI
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LEY
2 - 1
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 2
SWI
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
4 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
MKD
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
2 - 2
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 1
MKD
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |