Reading vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 3
REA
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SHW
3 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
REA
0 - 1
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
REA
3 - 0
STE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HUL
0 - 0
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
DER
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 2
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 4
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
PNE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |