Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FUL
1 - 2
REA
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
POS
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 3
QPR
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HUR
4 - 0
REA
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
REA
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MID
1 - 2
BPO
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 2
MID
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COV
2 - 0
MID
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
MID
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |