Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
SHE
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
STO
15%
25%
60%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 0
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WIG
0 - 0
REA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
MID
0 - 1
BUR
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
QPR
2 - 1
MID
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MID
1 - 1
BBU
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MID
0 - 3
ASV
45%
28%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |