Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 1
REA
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
REA
2 - 1
NOR
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BHA
2 - 2
REA
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
WAT
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
6 - 1
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
MID
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
BBU
0 - 0
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
MID
3 - 0
NTT
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 0
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MID
2 - 0
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |