Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
WIG
3 - 0
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
LEI
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 1
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
HUR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MID
1 - 2
MIL
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
MID
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
MID
3 - 1
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BHA
0 - 2
MID
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |