Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 3
REA
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COV
1 - 1
REA
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
REA
2 - 0
DON
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
WAT
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 0
REA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MID
0 - 0
LEI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MID
0 - 0
IPS
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CRY
2 - 1
MID
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRY
0 - 1
MID
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 2
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |