Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CRY
3 - 3
REA
23%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
REA
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
MID
1 - 1
NTT
43%
28%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MID
0 - 3
QPR
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 3
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MID
3 - 4
SWA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 0
MID
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |