Reading vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
QPR
2 - 0
REA
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
REA
2 - 3
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
REA
0 - 0
SPA
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
KVK
1 - 0
REA
44%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DON
0 - 0
GIL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GIL
2 - 1
IPS
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 2
GIL
35%
24%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
GIL
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GIL
2 - 3
FLE
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |