Reading vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
REA
3 - 1
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DER
2 - 1
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
REA
1 - 0
SUN
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 0
REA
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
OXF
0 - 2
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
COV
2 - 2
GIL
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GIL
0 - 4
SUN
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 2
GIL
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
GIL
0 - 1
QPR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
GIL
1 - 2
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |