Reading vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 5
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
REA
1 - 3
LEI
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
REA
0 - 0
WAL
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
REA
1 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
SHW
3 - 2
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 1
GIL
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
PNE
3 - 0
GIL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
GIL
1 - 1
LEE
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
GIL
3 - 2
LEI
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
DER
1 - 1
GIL
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |