Reading vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
REA
1 - 0
TRA
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
NOR
3 - 3
REA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
REA
1 - 1
SUN
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
POR
3 - 2
REA
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
REA
3 - 1
WBA
61%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
LEY
0 - 1
GIL
32%
30%
38%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
GIL
1 - 0
PLY
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
PNE
0 - 0
GIL
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
BCF
1 - 0
GIL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GIL
3 - 0
HIT
76%
15%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |