Reading vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
REA
0 - 0
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 2
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
BIR
0 - 1
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
CAR
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
FUL
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PNE
4 - 2
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BRE
3 - 3
BHA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
3 - 0
ASV
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CHL
4 - 0
BRE
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WIG
2 - 1
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |