Reading vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 0
REA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
REA
1 - 0
BBU
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
HUL
2 - 1
REA
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PNE
1 - 0
REA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
QPR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
BHA
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
4 - 2
HUR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FUL
2 - 2
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
MKD
53%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |