Reading vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
ARS
8%
17%
74%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
BBU
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
BPO
1 - 1
REA
19%
25%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 0
BRE
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FUL
1 - 4
BRE
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |