Reading vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
OLD
0 - 1
REA
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
3 - 4
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
REA
1 - 3
SWI
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 0
REA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
REA
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
BRE
5 - 1
BCF
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BOU
0 - 2
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
POS
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
BHA
1 - 2
BRE
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
BRE
4 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |