Reading vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FUL
3 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
REA
2 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BBU
4 - 2
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
REA
1 - 0
DER
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
OPA
7 - 4
REA
48%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
SLP
0 - 0
ARS
20%
26%
54%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 2
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SHE
0 - 3
ARS
17%
25%
59%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
37%
28%
35%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
7 - 0
SLP
79%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |