Reading vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
REA
0 - 1
CHL
17%
26%
58%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
WHU
0 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
MUD
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
REA
3 - 3
DAR
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 2
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
CSK
1 - 0
ARS
27%
28%
45%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
WAT
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 2
ARS
19%
26%
55%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 0
FCP
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
SHE
82%
13%
6%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |