African WC Qual. Third Round Final
Global 2-5
The Democratic Republic Of Congo vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BHR
1 - 0
COD
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COD
2 - 0
BEN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
TAN
0 - 3
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
COD
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
COD
2 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
EGY
2 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
MWI
84%
13%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 2
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
COM
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
GHA
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |