African WC Qual. 1st and 2nd Round Final
Global 5-4
The Democratic Republic Of Congo vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 3
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 2
COD
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 2
COD
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTA
2 - 0
COD
4%
12%
84%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COD
2 - 1
MAD
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 3
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
ETH
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
BDI
17%
20%
63%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |