The Democratic Republic Of Congo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MTN
0 - 2
COD
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
COD
1 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
COD
9%
17%
75%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
COD
1 - 2
ETH
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
CTA
0 - 0
MLI
9%
20%
71%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
COM
0 - 3
MLI
15%
24%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MLI
0 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 0
MLI
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
MLI
6 - 0
SWZ
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |