The Democratic Republic Of Congo vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
EGY
2 - 1
COD
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 1
COD
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GAB
0 - 0
COD
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
COD
1 - 1
LBY
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
COD
3 - 1
ANG
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
MWI
8 - 1
DJI
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 3
MWI
24%
24%
51%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MWI
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -2 |