The Democratic Republic Of Congo vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
COD
1 - 0
MLI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MTN
0 - 2
COD
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
COD
1 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
COD
9%
17%
75%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
TAN
0 - 1
MAD
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 3
GHA
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
CTA
1 - 4
MAD
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 1
SWZ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 2
MAD
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |