RD Agueda vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 0
FAM
10%
20%
69%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
RDA
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 0
LEC
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
TRA
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AMA
4 - 0
RDA
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GON
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
GAF
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |