RCL vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RCL
1 - 0
GHC
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AAL
0 - 5
RCL
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RCL
1 - 2
RIJ
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BVC
1 - 0
RCL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RCL
1 - 1
NOO
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 1
DSO
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GHC
1 - 1
SWI
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 1
ZWA
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AAL
1 - 6
SWI
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 1
VOO
44%
24%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |