Espanyol U19 vs Mercantil U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
2º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
87% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RCZ
0 - 2
RCD
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RCD
1 - 1
CDS
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RCD
2 - 1
RMA
11%
16%
73%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CEC
0 - 1
RCD
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RCD
4 - 0
ESC
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mercantil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
MLL
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEM
82%
11%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEM
3 - 2
SAB
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CFD
1 - 1
CEM
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDC
0 - 1
CEM
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |