RCD Carabanchel vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
12º
15º
12º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
TRJ
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
SAR
68%
18%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALA
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
POZ
57%
24%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 0
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
TRC
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
VAL
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |